Friday, 22 November, 2019

Iran’s Nuclear Bomb, Will there come a time to build one?

During the past few years, Iran’s effort to simply acquire a nuclear program has been used as an excuse by Western officials to question peaceful goals of Iran.  They do their best to convince the world that Iran will “soon” build a nuclear weapon.

However, the word “soon” is somehow ambiguous and cannot create the desired psychological effect that Western states desire.

Therefore, they have given various deadlines such as “up to one year,” “within the next two years,” or “in a decade” as their varied forecast on how long it could take Iran to build a bomb.

For example, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, during his address to the 67th annual session of the UN General Assemblyin New York, displayed a cartoonish drawing of a bomb. He then drew a red line using a marker to denote where Israel’s red line on Iran’s nuclear program would fall.

Netanyahu projected that Iran would be in the possession of the nuclear bomb by next spring, maybe summer, or at the latest next fall.

These uneducated predictions are usually made over short intervals of time in order to create greater significance of a conceived security threat.

However the remarkable point is, why after the projected time has elapsed there no proof that Iran has been trying to develop nuclear weapons? There is no media outlet, no scientific analysis, experts, or officials to conclude these forecasts are correct.

After 2000, Western officials announced that Iran would have the bomb by 2005. The year 2005 passed without Iran building any nuclear weapons. Then the Western officials announced that Iran will possibly develop a nuclear weapon by 2010. We are now in 2013 and there is no evidence that Iran is planning to build a nuclear bomb.

According to latest report issued by a group of U.S. nonproliferation experts, it is alleged that Iran could produce enough weapon-grade uranium for one or more nuclear bombs by mid-2014

“Based on the current trajectory of Iran’s nuclear program, we estimate that Iran could reach critical capability in mid-2014,” the report said.

However, given to the violation of previous claims, how can anyone expect that western’s claim come out right this time?

Some selected quotes from the West as well as Israeli officials and media about when Iran will have nuclear weapons are as follows:

Iran has enough fissile material to make a nuclear bomb.” Chairman of Joint Chiefs of Staff Admiral Mike Mullen (2009)

Iran is less than a year away from being unstoppable in its goal of producing a nuclear weapon.” Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak (2011)

It would probably take a year for Tehran to assemble a nuclear bomb.” U.S. Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta (2011)

They are very close; they are six months away from being about 90 percent of having the enriched uranium for an atom bomb.” Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (Sep, 2012)

The list of claims go on, sadly the hyperbole is accepted by those still convinced of their governments delusions. It was a wise man who said, “Condemnation without evidence is the height of ignorance” has the west reached that peak when it comes down to condemning Iran?

 

Sources:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/01/14/us-nuclear-iran-report-idUSBRE90D0NV20130114

http://www.dnaindia.com/world/report_iran-has-enough-material-to-make-nuclear-bomb-mullen_1235414

http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/barak-iran-less-than-a-year-away-from-producing-nuclear-weapon-1.396511

http://www.haaretz.com/news/middle-east/u-s-defense-secretary-iran-could-get-nuclear-bomb-within-a-year-1.402535

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/post/netanyahus-claim-that-iran-is-six-months-from-having-nuclear-bomb-material/2012/09/16/7497078e-002f-11e2-b260-32f4a8db9b7e_blog.html

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